If campaign fundraising and polling data are the two indications to declare a primary winner, then Antioch City Councilwoman Monica Wilson is likely to be in the runoff for the California State Assembly District 15 Race.
That leaves former Contra Costa County Board of Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, Contra Costa County Board of Education Trustee AnaMarie Avila Farais, and businesswoman Sonia Ledo vying for the second runoff spot.
According to campaign filings for money raised:
- Wilson has raised $255k with $190k coming from unions and political action committees (PAC)
- Mitchoff has raised $70,114
- Farias has raised $59,169
The Assembly seat became open when Assemblymember Tim Grayson decided to run for State Senate where that seat is being vacated by Steve Glazer. District 15 includes all of the following cities; Antioch, Brentwood, Clayton, Concord, Martinez, Pittsburg, Pleasant Hill and a portion of Walnut Creek. It also includes the communities of Bay Point, Clyde, Crockett, Pacheco, Port Costa, and Vine Hill.
In a press release issued February 3, Wilson’s campaign declared her the “front runner” after polling by FM3 Research, November 28 – December 3, which shows an open playing field for candidates when first introduced to the race with nearly 50% of voters being undecided. After introducing candidates, however, Wilson says introducing candidates’ biographies, two-thirds finding her favorable and over a quarter of voters saying they found her very favorable.
Wilson’s press release also states she takes a clear lead in the race after biographies of the candidates are shared, she leads the candidates with 25% support from voters, a 14-point gain from the initial vote, a 7-point lead over her opponents and shrinks the undecideds to 19%. — see full polling data report
Its unclear if the polling questions went any further than a biography. However, voters will have the final say on March 5, 2024 as ballots should be arriving any day.
For more on each candidate:
- AnaMarie Avila Farias – www.anamarie4assembly.com
- Sonia Ledo – www.sonialedo.com
- Karen Mitchoff – www.karenmitchoff.com
- Monica Wilson – www.monicaforassembly.com
Previous Stories:
- Dec 18, 2023 – Sonia Ledo Announces Run for State Assembly
- Oct 31, 2023 – Anamarie Avila Farias Announces State Assembly Run
- July 15, 2023 – Karen Mitchoff Announces Run For State Assembly
- June 7, 2023 – Monica Wilson Announces 2024 Run for State Assembly
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